News

Daily Newsletter - 1 November 2022

Summary

FIC (1)
Macroeconomic (4)
Financial (3)
Investment (3)
Legislative (4)
European News (1)
Social (2)
FIC 
Romania remains an attractive target for foreign investment
Romania still has a lot to offer to foreign investors. Foreign direct investments grew by more than 21% and the number of new foreign-capital companies increased by over 35% in H1/2022 year-on-year. Romania can take advantage of the current geopolitical and economic conditions, as there is major pressure on companies to bring their suppliers closer to home in order to attract investments. Daniel Anghel, Board member and Chair of the FDI Task Force within the Foreign Investors’ Council (FIC), stated that “Romania can benefit from the current geopolitical and economic context, which puts a lot of pressure on companies to bring their suppliers closer to their production sites in order to attract investment. As a result, many companies are targeting Central and Eastern European countries (Romania, Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic) at the expense of Asia.”

Romania remains an attractive target for foreign investment
Romania remains an attractive target for foreign investment
Macroeconomic 
Government expects Romania’s economy to grow by 4.6% in 2022 and by 2.8% in 2023
The government expects Romania’s economy to grow by 4.6% in 2022 and by 2.8% in 2023, despite inflation, the energy crisis in Europe or the looming recession in the euro area, according to the National Commission for Strategy and Prognosis (CNSP)’s autumn forecast, which the budget adjustment in November will be based on. The government’s forecasts are still below those of the International Monetary Fund or the World Bank, but inflation remains a heavy burden, which has generated over 25% price increases in the past two years.
Euro area inflation is expected to be 10.7% in October
Euro area inflation is expected to be 10.7% in October, up from 9.9% in September, according to a flash estimate from Eurostat. Differences among countries are significant. Inflation in Lithuania is expected to reach 22% (the same as in Latvia), France has a 7.1% estimated inflation rate for October and Spain - 7.3%. In Romania, the latest data showed inflation was getting close to 16%. The rising inflation is mainly generated by the increase in energy and food prices, Eurostat also indicates.
Ireland and Romania have the lowest tax-to-GDP ratios in EU
Revenues from taxes and social contributions in the European Union member states grew by EUR 520 billion, to EUR 6,058 billion, in 2021, according to data published by Eurostat on Monday, 31 October. The overall tax-to-GDP ratio stood at 41.7% in the EU in 2021, up from 41.1% in 2020. Eurostat data show that the tax-to-GDP ratio varied significantly among EU member states. The highest shares of taxes and social contributions as a percentage of GDP were recorded in Denmark (48.8%), France (47%) and Belgium (46%). At the opposite end of the scale, Ireland (21.9%) and Romania (27.3%) registered the lowest ratios.
iBanFirst’s study on 2023 foreign exchange market offers a macroeconomic overview for 2023
iBanFirst’s study on 2023 foreign exchange market presents a macroeconomic overview for the coming year and the potential impact that the evolution of the main currencies could have on Romanian companies that process international payments and that should adopt a policy of hedging against currency risk. iBanFirst experts argue that economy is in an unprecedented situation and that a recession has rarely been forecast so far in advance. Several economies are on the verge of collapse: the euro area, Great Britain and countries where the housing bubble has grown considerably over the past few years, such as Canada and Australia.
Financial 
The number of employees in NBR has grown by more than 8% over the past decade
The number of employees in the National Bank of Romania (NBR), the institution that regulates and supervises the activity of commercial banks in Romania, has grown by more than 8% over the past decade, i.e. by 152 people, while the Romanian banking system has seen a 16.4% decrease in staff, more than 10,000 bankers having left credit institutions between 2012 and 2021. After an oscillating evolution in the last decade, with a mainly upward trend in the number of employees, but also with years of slight decreases, the number of employees in NBR reached 2,018 at the end of 2021, compared to 1,866 employees in 2012, according to data from NBR’s annual reports.
UniCredit Bank has extended the availability of the Mobile Banking app
UniCredit Bank has extended the availability of the Mobile Banking app for Huawei mobile phone owners, via the App Gallery app store. The app offers individual clients access to information regarding their accounts, cards, loans and savings products with UniCredit and allows them to perform operations more rapidly and easily (balance checks, instant card blocking/unblocking operations, changes in cash withdrawal limits for POSs, ATMs or online payments by card, repayments for credit cards and loans at UniCredit Bank, currency exchanges, term deposits or savings accounts, the possibility to update their identity card data by uploading the document onto the app directly, etc.).
Aegon Romania ended H1/2022 with an 8.2% increase in gross written premiums
Aegon Romania ended the first half of 2022 with an 8.2% increase in gross written premiums (GWP), i.e. RON 76.7 million (compared to RON 70.4 million in H1/2021) and with a 4.3% market share on the life insurance segment, according to the information transmitted by the insurer. The advance is in line with the evolution of the local insurance market, the positive results having also been driven by the current context, marked by two overlapping crises (the pandemic and the war in Ukraine), which made Romanians place greater importance on their safety and health, as well as on protection solutions in case of unforeseen situations.
Investment 
Cluj County Council approved technical-economic indicators for the construction of a passage
Cluj County Council has approved the technical-economic indicators for the construction of the passage in the Tetarom III Park area in Jucu locality, a RON 78.1 million (EUR 15.8 million) investment supported with funds from the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR). The passage will link DN1C national road to Tetarom III Industrial Park, over the railway, according to a press release issued by Cluj County Council.
Nusco Group is moving forward with the Nusco City project in Pipera
Nusco Group is moving forward with the Nusco City project in Pipera and plans to build an office component alongside a commercial one and a two-lane boulevard and a tram line following some talks with the Mayor’s Office of Sector 2 in Bucharest. Demand for offices is prompting investors to launch new projects on the market that will be finalized after 2025, especially considering that deliveries will slow down over the next two years amid the lack of building permits in the capital city of Romania.
Romanian companies invest up to EUR 8,000 in digitalization to combat inflation
Inflation and the recent changes in the Fiscal Code are prompting Romanian entrepreneurs to invest in the digitalization and automation of their companies’ processes in order to reduce expenses by up to 35%, according to a press release. As a result, demand for software solutions grew by 30% during the period January-September 2022 compared to the similar period of 2021, NextUp data show. The cited source also indicates that local companies invest between EUR 1,000 and EUR 8,000 in business management solutions, such as ERP systems, integrated software solutions, to automate work processes with a view to simplifying employees’ activity and to eliminating human errors.
Legislative 
Law giving RON 160 million to Timisoara for European Capital of Culture was promulgated
On Monday, 31 October, President Klaus Iohannis promulgated the law through which the National Cultural Program "Timişoara - European Capital of Culture in 2023" will receive part of the necessary financing from the state budget, namely RON 164 million to be ensured by Timişoara City Hall, Timiş County Council, the Ministry of Culture/National Theatre and the TM2023 Association. The normative act amends and completes Government Emergency Ordinance (OUG) 51/1998 on improving the financing system corresponding to cultural programs, projects and actions, and amends Government Emergency Ordinance 42/2019 on establishing financial measures to support the implementation of the National Cultural Program "Timişoara - European Capital of Culture in 2023".
President Iohannis promulgated law approving OUG which suspends public sector recruitments
On Monday, 31 October, President Klaus Iohannis promulgated the law approving Government Emergency Ordinance (OUG) 80/2022, which suspends recruitments for vacant positions in the public sector until the end of this year. The normative act also introduces an exception allowing competitions or exams to be held in order to fill vacant or temporarily vacant positions within the services of the two chambers of Parliament.
Senate postponed vote on draft law approving OUG through which firewood price is capped
On Monday, the Senate postponed the vote on the draft law approving Government Emergency Ordinance 134/2022 through which the price of firewood is capped until 31 March 2023, because the specialized committees had not issued their report on the draft law. The deadline for the tacit adoption of the act is Thursday, 3 November. The Senate was the first notified chamber and the Chamber of Deputies is the decision-making body.
Mayors of sectors and of county capital cities can benefit from national security information
Mayors of sectors in Bucharest and of county capital cities can benefit from national security information, according to a draft law amending Law 51/1991 on Romania’s national security adopted by the Senate, as the decision-making body, during the plenary session on Monday, 31 October. There were 78 votes in favor of the draft law, 14 votes against it and 26 abstentions. National security information obtained from abroad by the Foreign Intelligence Service is exempted from the provisions of the aforementioned draft law.
European News 
Cheniere wants to distribute natural gas in Europe
Cheniere, the leading exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the United States, is "willing to build incremental facilities" to satisfy growing European demand, it told EURACTIV, warning however that additional capacity would not enter service before "the latter portion of this decade". The US became the world’s largest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) during the first half of 2022, filling part of the vacuum left by Russia, whose exports to Europe have plunged following its February invasion of Ukraine. Falling supplies from Russia have "really changed the flow dynamics" for gas in Europe, said Corey Grindal, executive vice-president in charge of worldwide trading at Cheniere.
Social 
Romanians are the best trained and informed drivers in EU when it comes to driving in winter
Romanians are the best trained and informed drivers in Europe when it comes to driving in winter, according to a study on European drivers’ attitudes and habits towards cold weather driving. 4,000 drivers from eight European countries participated in the study. The study shows that 76% of Romanian drivers replace their summer tires with winter ones once the cold season starts.
Thousands of cases of abused or neglected children have come to Family Ministry’s attention
Minister for Family, Youth and Equal Opportunities Gabriela Firea has announced that thousands of cases of abused or neglected children have come to the ministry’s attention over the past ten months, which is an indication that the single emergency line for children 119 has proven its usefulness. Minister Firea has also pointed out that there is still reluctance to report child abuse. Moreover, the Social-Democrat (PSD) minister has indicated that the institution she coordinates is working hard to improve the 119 system and train the specialists who take those calls.